Thanks for posting this NB. I really appreciate your measured analysis of the reliability (and intentions, perhaps) of the source. Couple of things - I'm not sure I fully agree that "McCaffrey's position as a retired general allows him great freedom to make a no-holds-barred call about the facts on the ground as he sees them." [I should note here that Napoleon B has since changed his posting to "greater freedom," which was apparently his intended meaning] As you note, his position (and background) is in fact sure to bias his view toward one end or another...but I would go a little further. I doubt very much that "the facts on the ground" were seen by him at all - before we even get to how he sees them. He was there for one week. ONE WEEK. The majority of that time would have been taken up with high-level military and political meetings and reviewing reports and statistics gathered and interpreted by American military personnel. I would not equate this with "facts on the ground" and indeed his report shows several inaccuracies even at first glance. For example there are, according to UNHCR (who themselves often underestimate) closer to 4 million refugees and IDPs in Iraq and the neighbouring countries as a result of the war (as opposed to Gen McCaffrey's 2 million - see: UNHCR LINK). I VERY much doubt that any time at all was taken up by visits to these displaced communities and camps, interviews with Iraqi civilian victims of "collateral damage" from American activities, interviews with the victims of torture, including the Abu Ghraib victims (have we forgotten already?! See: BBC News LINK) or even substantial interviews with low-ranking frontline US soldiers.
I do take your point that this is a military perspective, and can only really be viewed in that context. However it is my firm belief that viewing political and humanitarian crises almost solely from a "military perspective" is precisely what worsens and perpetuates these crises. In such a perspective there is no mention of the gravity of the situation in terms of long term individual, community, and national trauma - for Iraqis or for Americans. There is no mention of extensive damage to international reputation and diplomatic leverage that this war has done to the US and her allies. And, perhaps worst of all, there is no space for a humanizing of the voices of 7 or 8 digit numbers of people who are suffering the daily effects of this war and the US-led approach to "winning" it.
So...yes - this report is certainly not an optimistic view of the situation and yes it is framed within a language (and a paradigm) that may be more likely to be paid attention to by Washington (though who really knows who's advice is listened to in these insane times - the Pentagon strongly advised against going into Iraq in the first place after all). However I personally feel that any review of the current situation in Iraq that paints it as, summarily, US armed forces in a "situation of strategic peril" is a significantly lacking perspective. I also strongly urge those of us who are not constrained by position (though this is debatable), to question far more critically the use of the word "success" in relation to any exit strategy from Iraq.
[I also want to post here my response to another blogger's comment on Napoleon B's posting...]
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